NBA SAT 032109 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

[VegasAce21]

evenin fellas! Everton pk -120 is the pick tonite. starts 520ish am sat am. i am takin this one myself...please follow as you wish. not my picks but a friend of a friend who does very well at English Premier Soccer. Nice pick once again Ax. You sir, are da man!....

 

[axp59]

Don't forget 2Q
Probably should go over ORL team total and under for NY while you're at it :142smilie



:mj06:

GS over! Actually hate to sweat that one out surprisingly, but a winner's a winner!

Wow, you can double quote? I love Mad Jack's

Oh god PnP, don't encourage me!

 

[axp59]

Did somebody say 2H plays ?

tomorrow boss...1H 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2H...hell we're doing it all on NY/ORL LOL

 

[clkclass]

AX Great call 2day, Iam reading and learning alot from you. You are a very wise and inteligent person. Thanks 4 that!!!!! PS 2 DA WINDOW!!!!!!!

 

[proguy747]

I am telling you 12-15 dollars for a thick ass filet. Good as any steakhouse I have ever tried. as good or better then Ruth chris, Mortons, Houstons. Not as good as wolfgang pucks steakhouse "THE CUT". That place is heaven.

 

[easterntimezone]

I'm actually an Arsenal fan. This season has been very trying to say the least! I do agree that Bendtner is bollocks seeing how he misses many more than he scores and yes, Wenger can be quite the sore loser as well. With our extremely long injury list about to get shorter with Eduardo, Fabregas and Adebayor returning for the run-in, I think we'll be able to hold on to 4th spot. Wenger will be too old by the time Fergie retires though and I can't see him managing another EPL side.

You're spot on about Aston Villa. I recall many times reading about how they had one of the smallest squads in the league.

Haha, Ferdinand reminds of Rasheed Wallace in that they have immense talen but often choose not to exert the required effort. I think ManU will win tomorrow as well, but still deciding whether to just take the ML or maybe take a spread of -1 which I think has a lot of value @ $1.701.


Sorry for hijacking your thread, ax. :kiss:

I'm not sold on Adebayor given his lackluster effort this season; I thought Wenger would have been better served by selling him to Barcelona - and using the funds to try and lure Benzema from Lyons as your tall lead striker. I also do think that he needs to install a hard-nosed back 4 - who are tall and can clear corners effectively. Add in moving Almunia as well who looked like he was going to puke when facing those penalties in Rome.

I'm not sure if I made myself clear so I apologize, but it's Moyes whom I can see succeeding Ferguson.

I've never thought of Ferdinand as Wallace's counterpart although it's a good comparison - his brother hasn't really panned out either, especially after his move from West Ham to Sunderland. Also think Micah Richards is much like Jason Richardson and a lot of NBA players who rely on raw talent, but have very low IQs when it comes to the sport they're plying their trade in - no wonder Capello didn't call him up for the national side.

 

[proguy747]

wife is complainiing about me on the computer. will be back in the morning with some work put in. Good night and I am serious about that steak offer. I will talk to the butcher shop about them shipping steaks for me. If they will I would love to send my brother some prime porterhouse steaks from there also. He lives in north east new york boonies and can not get a goof steak. goodnight boys.

 

[axp59]

Ax -

Although sure you consider all 3, do you place equal weight on all of 'em when factoring in your decision or on exponential smoothing; having worked in epidemiology and using statistical data, some of older numbers I used really weren't valuable in predicting current models, but b/c of their inclusion, tended to skew the results (and subsequently the projected direction of what would happen and the proper reaction required).

great point. No routine of assigning equal weight. But the inclusion of older data with much lesser weight represents a possibility of a certain scenario occurring where complete exclusion may not represent the reality which is a repeat of something happening from the past no matter how remote.

 

[axp59]

evenin fellas! Everton pk -120 is the pick tonite. starts 520ish am sat am. i am takin this one myself...please follow as you wish. not my picks but a friend of a friend who does very well at English Premier Soccer. Nice pick once again Ax. You sir, are da man!....

I told them yo had an in in EPL Ace...hope you don't mind me sharing that.

So you cashed once again. Gotta have that drink with you next time I'm in town pal!

 

[easterntimezone]

evenin fellas! Everton pk -120 is the pick tonite. starts 520ish am sat am. i am takin this one myself...please follow as you wish. not my picks but a friend of a friend who does very well at English Premier Soccer. Nice pick once again Ax. You sir, are da man!....

Nice one! Moyes has been doing it w/ smoke and mirrors - no strikers during a crucial stretch run, missing Arteta as his advancing midfielder, but he continues to stymie the opposition. May follow as well since the Toffees have crept themselves into the top half of the table quietly, but effectively after a less-than-inspiring start...

:mj06:

 

[axp59]

AX Great call 2day, Iam reading and learning alot from you. You are a very wise and inteligent person. Thanks 4 that!!!!! PS 2 DA WINDOW!!!!!!!

Methuen...anytime Homie...remember the drinks we're having on Newbury St!!!!

 

[axp59]

I am telling you 12-15 dollars for a thick ass filet. Good as any steakhouse I have ever tried. as good or better then Ruth chris, Mortons, Houstons. Not as good as wolfgang pucks steakhouse "THE CUT". That place is heaven.

Damn man, stop, I'm a sucker for prime red meat. It's 1:25am and I'm craving a steak! WTF! :mj07:

 

[easterntimezone]

great point. No routine of assigning equal weight. But the inclusion of older data with much lesser weight represents a possibility of a certain scenario occurring where complete exclusion may not represent the reality which is a repeat of something happening from the past no matter how remote.

Gotcha - it's the provision allowing for the Black Swan...

 

[axp59]

wife is complainiing about me on the computer. will be back in the morning with some work put in. Good night and I am serious about that steak offer. I will talk to the butcher shop about them shipping steaks for me. If they will I would love to send my brother some prime porterhouse steaks from there also. He lives in north east new york boonies and can not get a goof steak. goodnight boys.

Night pal...

He leaves after all that...I'm going to make a burger.

 

[axp59]

Nice one! Moyes has been doing it w/ smoke and mirrors - no strikers during a crucial stretch run, missing Arteta as his advancing midfielder, but he continues to stymie the opposition. May follow as well since the Toffees have crept themselves into the top half of the table quietly, but effectively after a less-than-inspiring start...

:mj06:

This is a good play? I will blindly tail!

 

[VegasAce21]

absolutely not Ax, dont mind at all. drinks on me...

 

[easterntimezone]

Damn man, stop, I'm a sucker for prime red meat. It's 1:25am and I'm craving a steak! WTF! :mj07:

I'm shutting it down as well - I'm going to place that ML parlay comprised of Man U and the Cavs - confident about the football/soccer selection, hoping my/our guess on Cleveland is realized as well...

Best of luck to everyone...

 

[axp59]

Gotcha - it's the provision allowing for the Black Swan...

you were the signal to noise ratio guy at covers weren't you ETZ?

 

[axp59]

absolutely not Ax, dont mind at all. drinks on me...

got your contact info bro...be good to match a name to a face...

 

[axp59]

I'm shutting it down as well - I'm going to place that ML parlay comprised of Man U and the Cavs - confident about the football/soccer selection, hoping my/our guess on Cleveland is realized as well...

Best of luck to everyone...

Nite ETZ